Newton Abbot 2:02 pm

AI Verdict

Newton Abbot's 2m5f hurdle offers a clear top-tier trio, with PENZANCE the standout—his consistent mid-table finishes this season, backed by J.J. Hanlon's class and Paddy Hanlon's steady hands, mark him as the most reliable. Depalma follows closely; his recent consistency and Harry Skelton's tactical nous make him a genuine threat, though slightly less progressive than Penzance. Devon Red rounds out the front three, his improved form and Scholfield's experience adding depth, though his recent runs lack the same punch.

Black Dakota and Ocean Rose are longshots with pedigree and trainer backing, but their form tells a different story—Dakota's recent struggles and Ocean Rose's lack of progress suggest they're more of a speculative fancy than a genuine contender. Pappano, despite his flat background, is a poor bet given his lack of hurdle experience, while Dontcontradictme's absence from action and unproven hurdling ability make him a non-factor. The race hinges on Penzance's ability to convert his recent consistency into a win, with Depalma and Devon Red as the only real threats.